Rising global yields, to worsen Romania's fiscal situation in 2025
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
Central banks are adjusting their policies based on economic indicators rather than a fixed schedule, which keeps currency market volatility high.
ECB will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points would be more justified given the fragile economic situation.
The account opening process on the iBanFirst platform has been streamlined from 10 days to just a few hours, ensuring compliance and AML requirements are met efficiently.
iBanFirst estimates that the dollar index could increase by 10% over five years—thus reinforcing the overvaluation of the US currency compared to its main counterparts.

Romania is entering a new stage, with its multiannual economic recovery programme launching in 2026, carrying an estimated budget of around €5 billion through 2032 and a dedicated framework for anchor-type strategic investments above €200 million, according to experts at EY Romania.
FintechOS, the financial technology company founded in Romania that provides AI-based digitalisation solutions for banks and insurers, has reached profitability on the back of a 40% rise in recurring revenue at the end of Q1, company representatives said.
OMV Petrom, an integrated energy producer in Southeast Europe, has made the final investment decision for Gabare, an integrated solar energy and battery storage project in Bulgaria.
The gap between European and Romanian agricultural economic pressures widened in Q1 2026.
More frequent heatwaves, rising energy costs and concerns about indoor air quality are changing the way Romanians choose climate control solutions.