Rising global yields, to worsen Romania's fiscal situation in 2025
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
Central banks are adjusting their policies based on economic indicators rather than a fixed schedule, which keeps currency market volatility high.
ECB will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points would be more justified given the fragile economic situation.
The account opening process on the iBanFirst platform has been streamlined from 10 days to just a few hours, ensuring compliance and AML requirements are met efficiently.
iBanFirst estimates that the dollar index could increase by 10% over five years—thus reinforcing the overvaluation of the US currency compared to its main counterparts.

Romania's consolidated general budget recorded a deficit of RON 121.77 billion (€23.90 billion), equivalent to 6.40% of GDP, in the first eleven months of 2025, down 0.74 percentage points from 7.15% in the same period of 2024.
A company from the PPC Romania group will construct a natural gas power plant with a capacity of approximately 100 MW on Valea Terovei, on the site of the former UCC - Uzina Cocso Chimică platform in Reșița.
Romanian business managers across key sectors forecast a moderate decline in economic activity for December 2025 to February 2026, according to the latest survey from the INS.
Romanian businesses are facing increased exposure to fiscal and operational risks as customs controls intensify across Europe and nationally, according to EY Romania experts.
State-owned power producer Hidroelectrica has convened an Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders (EGMS) for 27 January 2026 to approve a strategic partnership with EDF.