Rising global yields, to worsen Romania's fiscal situation in 2025
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
Central banks are adjusting their policies based on economic indicators rather than a fixed schedule, which keeps currency market volatility high.
ECB will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points would be more justified given the fragile economic situation.
The account opening process on the iBanFirst platform has been streamlined from 10 days to just a few hours, ensuring compliance and AML requirements are met efficiently.
iBanFirst estimates that the dollar index could increase by 10% over five years—thus reinforcing the overvaluation of the US currency compared to its main counterparts.

The European Commission (EC) has finalised the signing of the SAFE loan agreement with Romania.
Sphera Franchise Group, Romania's largest food service group, reported consolidated sales of €75.6 million in Q1 2026, up 4.2% compared to the same period last year. Growth was driven by the return to positive performance of KFC Romania and the strong evolution of Taco Bell.
Hidroelectrica signed a €188.5 million contract for the refurbishment of Râul Mare Retezat Hydropower Plant. The project aims to modernize and improve the efficiency of the company's generation capacities.
Banca Transilvania (BT) said its consolidated net profit reached RON 1.14 billion lei (€228 million) in Q1, representing a 30.1% increase compared to the same period last year. Total assets for the group expanded to RON 227 billion lei (€45.4 billion) as the institution neared the milestone of five million active customers.
Vastint Romania has announced a new leasing contract with Arcadis Romania, which will occupy 1,183 sqm in building A of Business Garden Bucharest. The global design, engineering and consultancy company joins a growing community of international tenants at the development.