Rising global yields, to worsen Romania's fiscal situation in 2025
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
Central banks are adjusting their policies based on economic indicators rather than a fixed schedule, which keeps currency market volatility high.
ECB will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points would be more justified given the fragile economic situation.
The account opening process on the iBanFirst platform has been streamlined from 10 days to just a few hours, ensuring compliance and AML requirements are met efficiently.
iBanFirst estimates that the dollar index could increase by 10% over five years—thus reinforcing the overvaluation of the US currency compared to its main counterparts.

Romania's GDP fell by 0.2% in Q1 2026 compared to the previous quarter, according to data released by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
Romania's annual inflation rate reached 10.7% in April 2026 compared to April 2025, according to data released by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
Agroland Business System has received approval from Romania's Commission for the Examination of Foreign Direct Investments (CEFDI) for a €20 million greenfield investment in egg production. The new facility will be located in Mihăilești, Giurgiu County.
The European Investment Bank (EIB) will advise Antibiotice, Romania's largest pharmaceutical company with majority Romanian capital, on strengthening its corporate governance to support future growth. Under a new advisory services agreement, the EIB will work with Antibiotice to align its risk-management framework and business operations with international best practice in the pharmaceutical sector.
Penny Romania ended 2025 with revenue of RON 10.6 billion lei (€2.1 billion), marking a 12.01% increase compared to the previous year. The discount retailer opened 40 new stores, reaching 456 units nationwide, and completed its fifth logistics centre in Mihăilești, Giurgiu County.