Rising global yields, to worsen Romania's fiscal situation in 2025
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
Central banks are adjusting their policies based on economic indicators rather than a fixed schedule, which keeps currency market volatility high.
ECB will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points would be more justified given the fragile economic situation.
The account opening process on the iBanFirst platform has been streamlined from 10 days to just a few hours, ensuring compliance and AML requirements are met efficiently.
iBanFirst estimates that the dollar index could increase by 10% over five years—thus reinforcing the overvaluation of the US currency compared to its main counterparts.

The Competition Council has authorised the transaction through which Pavăl Holding intends to acquire the Carrefour group in Romania.
Romanian construction company Concelex recorded revenues of RON 1.48 billion (€296 million) in 2025, representing a 17 per cent increase compared to the previous year.
Polytrade Global, a Romanian group specialising in energy infrastructure, the supply of electrical equipment, and renewable energy projects, closed 2025 with a turnover of around €21.5 million, a 173% increase on the previous year, and a net profit of €579,000.
Grup Şerban Holding said its subsidiary Ferma Avicolă Şerban completed the sale to SAGEM of a portfolio of real estate and operating assets located in Bacău and Vaslui counties, consisting of land plots, buildings, installations and equipment related to poultry farming activities.
Romania has recorded the lowest corporate artificial intelligence (AI) adoption rate in Central Europe, with just 5% of companies deploying the technology at an organisational scale.