Rising global yields, to worsen Romania's fiscal situation in 2025
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
Central banks are adjusting their policies based on economic indicators rather than a fixed schedule, which keeps currency market volatility high.
ECB will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points would be more justified given the fragile economic situation.
The account opening process on the iBanFirst platform has been streamlined from 10 days to just a few hours, ensuring compliance and AML requirements are met efficiently.
iBanFirst estimates that the dollar index could increase by 10% over five years—thus reinforcing the overvaluation of the US currency compared to its main counterparts.

Hidroelectrica has signed a contract for €8.7 million in non-reimbursable financing from the Modernisation Fund to implement a battery storage facility at the Porțile de Fier II hydroelectric plant.
Romania's annual inflation rate will increase and remain at higher levels than previously forecast during March-June 2026, according to the minutes from the National Bank of Romania's monetary policy meeting held in early April.
The Vega Ploiești Refinery, operated by Rompetrol Rafinare, has started producing hexane with a minimum purity of 60%, supporting polypropylene production and the food industry.
Romania's job market in Q1 2026 showed a significant imbalance between supply and demand, with applications on OLX Locuri de Muncă rising 10.6% to 2.62 million whilst total job postings dropped 43.1% to 41,221 compared to the same period in 2025.
Energy producer OMV Petrom and RNV Infrastructure have announced that three wind projects in Romania, with a total installed capacity of approximately 300 MW, are entering the execution phase following the final investment decision. The projects hold the necessary permits, with production expected to begin in stages from H1 2027.