The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
Central banks are adjusting their policies based on economic indicators rather than a fixed schedule, which keeps currency market volatility high.
ECB will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points would be more justified given the fragile economic situation.
The account opening process on the iBanFirst platform has been streamlined from 10 days to just a few hours, ensuring compliance and AML requirements are met efficiently.
iBanFirst estimates that the dollar index could increase by 10% over five years—thus reinforcing the overvaluation of the US currency compared to its main counterparts.
OMV Petrom has released its trading update for Q4 2025, revealing a period defined by improved refining performance and strategic adjustments following the extension of production licenses.
Romania's Ministry of Finance will conduct its first public offering of Fidelis government bonds for 2026 between January 16 and 23 on the Bucharest Stock Exchange. This marks the 32nd offering since the Fidelis program resumed in July 2020.
The World Bank revised down Romania's 2026 growth forecast to 1.3%, compared to the 1.9% predicted in June 2025 and 2.6% estimated in January 2025.
Romania's industrial production fell 1.1% as a gross series and 0.5% as a seasonally adjusted series in the first 11 months of the year compared to the same period in 2024, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
Romania's Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare has signed a second €500 million financing contract with the European Investment Bank (EIB) for the Sibiu-Pitești highway project.