The biggest risk for Romania in 2025 is not Trump tariff's policy, the German recession or the Ukraine war, but the continued deterioration of the fiscal situation.
Central banks are adjusting their policies based on economic indicators rather than a fixed schedule, which keeps currency market volatility high.
ECB will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points would be more justified given the fragile economic situation.
The account opening process on the iBanFirst platform has been streamlined from 10 days to just a few hours, ensuring compliance and AML requirements are met efficiently.
iBanFirst estimates that the dollar index could increase by 10% over five years—thus reinforcing the overvaluation of the US currency compared to its main counterparts.
Vista Bank marked its debut as a bond issuer on the Bucharest Stock Exchange (BVB). The bank listed its €17 million bond issue on the Regulated Market, consolidating its strategy to diversify funding sources through the capital market.
The Vega Ploiești Refinery, operated by Rompetrol Rafinare, has started producing hexane with a minimum purity of 60%, supporting polypropylene production and the food industry.
The EU's downward trend in transport costs ended abruptly in March 2026, with Romania emerging as one of the most heavily impacted member states.
Energy producer OMV Petrom and RNV Infrastructure have announced that three wind projects in Romania, with a total installed capacity of approximately 300 MW, are entering the execution phase following the final investment decision. The projects hold the necessary permits, with production expected to begin in stages from H1 2027.
Romania's budget deficit calculated according to the European ESA methodology has dropped from 9.3% of GDP in 2024 to 7.9% of GDP in 2025, representing a correction of 1.4 percentage points of GDP.