Romania's informal economy falls short of global average

Business Forum
Romania's informal economy represents about one eighth of its GDP, according to an EY report.

The estimate from the study for Romania is 13.1% of GDP in 2023, only about one percentage point higher than the global average.

Thus, the EY Global Study indicates that in 2000, Romania's informal economy was estimated at 31.3% of GDP, in 2013 at 19.5%, and by 2019 it had fallen to 15.1%.

The good news is that its share of the total is decreasing year by year, as part of a trend spanning over two decades.

The causes are multiple: from the budgetary after-effects of the 2008-2009 financial crisis to the costs of the pandemic and the current geo-political uncertainty, explains Alex Milcev, Partner, Head of Tax and Legal Assistance Department, EY Romania.

The long-term downward trend is clear, and the rate of reduction is naturally faster compared to other developed countries (because it starts from a more precarious base), added Milcev.

The EY report includes several key recommendations for political decision-makers to reduce the informal economy, such as boosting taxpayer confidence, simplifying and incentivising legal registration and operation of firms and or using third-party data through cross-checks of information from finance, labour, and public/private sources.

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Business Forum  |  2 April, 2025 at 3:17 PM