The USD/RON pair is unlikely to experience a significant drop, given the strength of the U.S. dollar. If the rate approaches the 4.44 level, it could trigger a technical rebound.
Romania's exports to the United States in 2024 exceeded €2.28 billion, while imports from the US reached €1.31 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of €968 million.
Eurostat data shows that 18 member states recorded surpluses, eight recorded deficits and one member state had its current account in balance in Q4 2024.